Prediction record
HitmarketsIf Bitcoin holds ~$52,000, Ethereum rallies to $2,000 and beyond.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“If bitcoin holds this level at 52k, there's nothing stopping ethereum from making the rally to 2k and beyond.”
If Bitcoin holds ~$52,000, Ethereum rallies to $2,000 and beyond.
- Made on
- 2021-03-09
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-04-03
Given Bitcoin holds ~$52,000, Ethereum's price reaches ≥$2,000 at any point within the window.
Conditional prediction: antecedent (BTC holds ~$52k) held into April 2021, and ETH reached ≥$2,000 (first in-window crossing ~early April 2021, ATH $2,197). resolved_on set to ~2021-04-03 as the approximate first in-window $2,000 crossing (ETH also briefly neared $2,000 on 2021-02-20, before the window start, so that touch is excluded). Criterion met with wide margin. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Ethereum: The Overvaluation Re-accumulation Phase of a Lifetime (Part 3)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Ethereum reached a new all-time high of $2,197 in mid-April 2021 (first sustainably crossing $2,000 in early April 2021), well within the 2021-03-09→2024-03-09 window.
Antecedent check: on/around 2021-03-09 Bitcoin traded near ~$52,000 and held that level, rising into the $58k–$64.9k range through April 2021 — so the conditional 'if Bitcoin holds ~$52,000' was satisfied when ETH crossed $2,000.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Record is resolved as satisfied and resolution notes/evidence establish the antecedent (BTC holding ~$52k) held when ETH crossed $2,000; condition_met should reflect that rather than remaining null.
Score contribution
+1.91- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.91
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
If Bitcoin holds ~$52,000, Ethereum rallies to $2,000 and b…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-09
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources