Full record
25% rightcryptoBitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $100,000 (six figures).
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightcrypto“bitcoin will trend two six figures and you know well into the six figures”
Bitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $100,000 (six figures).
- Made on
- 2021-03-18
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-03-18
BTC/USD trades at or above $100,000 at any point within the window.
Criterion 'BTC/USD trades at or above $100,000 at any point within the window' evaluable and window-closed. In-window peak ~$73,750 (Mar 2024); the $100k level was not touched until Dec 2024, outside the window. Resolved as of the deadline; outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Battle for the Upper Regression Band
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Within the 2021-03-18 → 2024-03-18 window, BTC's highest price was a new all-time high of ~$73,750 on 2024-03-14 (pre-halving ETF-driven run). It did not reach $100,000 at any point inside the window.
BTC first reached $100,000 on 2024-12-04/05 — roughly nine months AFTER the 2024-03-18 deadline, so it falls outside the horizon window.
Corrections
- tags: BTC price bet: crypto primary + markets secondary per dictionary.
Effect on the score
+0.84- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin (BTC) will reach at least $100,000 (six figures).- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources