Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin is not down 90% or more from its ~$57,000 March 2021 level four years later (i.e., BTC remains above ~$5,700)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i think there's a decent chance that bitcoin is doing better than a 90 drop in four years from now”
Bitcoin is not down 90% or more from its ~$57,000 March 2021 level four years later (i.e., BTC remains above ~$5,700)
- Made on
- 2021-03-15
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2025-03-15
As of ~March 2025, Bitcoin's price is above approximately $5,700 (not down 90%+ from ~$57,000)
Criterion (BTC above ~$5,700 as of ~March 2025) clearly satisfied; BTC was ~$80k+, more than an order of magnitude above the threshold.
Sources
Bitcoin: My Concern for New Investors
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
In March 2025 Bitcoin traded in the ~$80,000s (month-end close $82,548.91 on 2025-03-31), roughly 14x above the ~$5,700 floor (a 90% drop from ~$57,000). BTC was never remotely near a 90% drawdown as of ~March 2025.
Corrections
- tags: A BTC price call is crypto-primary per the dictionary crypto-vs-markets rule; primary crypto tag was missing.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin is not down 90% or more from its ~$57,000 March 202…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-15
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources