Full record
25% rightcryptoBitcoin's market capitalization will top between $2 trillion and $4 trillion during the 2021 market cycle
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightcrypto“bitcoin were to go to a market capitalization between say two to four trillion which i think is where the top will be for this market cycle”
Bitcoin's market capitalization will top between $2 trillion and $4 trillion during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-26
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.04
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin's market cap peaks within the $2T-$4T range during the 2021 cycle
BTC market-cap peak (~$1.28-1.30T) occurred Nov 9-10, 2021. It never entered the $2T-$4T predicted range at any point in the 2021 cycle (the ~$2T level was first reached only in a later cycle). Outcome value/scoring deferred.
Sources
Cardano: A Realistic Price Prediction (Part 2)
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin reached its 2021-cycle all-time high price of $69,045 on Nov 10, 2021, with an all-time-high market cap of approximately $1.28-1.30 trillion (Fortune: Bitcoin's market cap ~$1.28T on Nov 9, 2021). This cycle-peak market cap is below the $2T floor of the predicted $2T-$4T range.
GlobalData Bitcoin market capitalization history confirms BTC market cap peaked around $1.2-1.3T in late 2021, never reaching $2T during the 2021 cycle.
Corrections
- tags: BTC market-cap level claim: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary per dictionary.
Effect on the score
+2.04- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's market capitalization will top between $2 trillio…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources