Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoBitcoin's (BTC) top for this market cycle will be near $140,000.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“140 000 is the is sort of going to be near the top for the cycle.”
Bitcoin's (BTC) top for this market cycle will be near $140,000.
- Made on
- 2021-03-18
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2024-03-18
BTC's cycle-high price is approximately $140,000 (within roughly ±15%, i.e. about $119k–$161k).
Criterion 'cycle-high price approximately $140,000 (±15%, ~$119k–$161k)' evaluable and window-closed. The cycle top realized within the window was ~$69,000 (Nov 2021), with an in-window maximum of ~$73,750 (Mar 2024) — both well outside the required band. Resolved as of the deadline; outcome value not assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin: Battle for the Upper Regression Band
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The 2021 market-cycle top was ~$69,000 (record $69,225 on 2021-11-10). BTC then fell ~78% to ~$15,500 by Nov 2022, confirming that as the cycle high.
The highest BTC price anywhere in the 2021-03-18 → 2024-03-18 window was ~$73,750 on 2024-03-14. Both the ~$69k (2021) cycle top and the ~$73.75k (Mar 2024) window high are far below the ~$119k–$161k band the criterion requires for a top 'near $140,000.'
Corrections
- tags: BTC price/level target: crypto primary + markets secondary per dictionary.
Score contribution
+0.84- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's (BTC) top for this market cycle will be near $140…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-18
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources