Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoBitcoin's market-cycle peak reaches between $100,000 and $200,000 during the 2021 cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“the market cycle peak for bitcoin will be between one to two hundred thousand dollars”
Bitcoin's market-cycle peak reaches between $100,000 and $200,000 during the 2021 cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-13
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin's price reaches at least $100,000 at some point during the 2021 market cycle (by end of 2021)
Criterion (>=$100k by end of 2021) was NOT met; cycle peak fell ~31% short of the lower bound of the $100k-$200k range. Fact is unambiguous.
Sources
Bitcoin: Be Ready for Anything
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 2021-cycle peak was ~$68,990 on 2021-11-10 (Coinbase print ~$69,000); it never reached $100,000 at any point in 2021. BTC did not exceed $69k again until March 2024, well outside the window.
Bloomberg confirms the Nov-2021 high was a record 'for the first time since November 2021' only broken in March 2024 — no $100k print occurred in the 2021 cycle.
Corrections
- tags: BTC cycle-peak price claim; crypto primary, markets secondary.
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's market-cycle peak reaches between $100,000 and $2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources