Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin's 200-week moving average crosses $10,000 within one to two weeks

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

we should be crossing above ten thousand dollars in the not so distant future

Bitcoin's 200-week moving average crosses $10,000 within one to two weeks

Made on
2021-03-06
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-03-12

Bitcoin's 200-week moving average exceeds $10,000 on or before ~2021-03-20.

Directly computed 200-week simple moving average (Yahoo weekly closes). Rising ~$200-280/week at the time, it passed $10k the week of 2021-03-12 — comfortably before the ~2021-03-20 deadline. Exact crossing day depends on the tool's weekly-close convention, but all conventions place it in the 2021-03-08→03-20 window; criterion satisfied. (No outcome value assigned.)

Sources

  • Bitcoin's 200W MA approaches $10k!

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • 200-week SMA of Bitcoin computed from Yahoo Finance BTC-USD weekly closes: week of 2021-03-05 = ~$9,955 (just below $10k); week of 2021-03-12 = ~$10,235 (first weekly value above $10,000); week of 2021-03-19 = ~$10,482. The 200-week MA thus first crossed $10,000 during the week of 2021-03-08 to 2021-03-14, within one to two weeks of the 2021-03-06 statement and before the ~2021-03-20 deadline.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • Quote wording: Trailing 'in the next one to two weeks or so' is a separate, later utterance; splicing it onto the $10k sentence misrepresents two non-contiguous passages as one. The one-to-two-week timeframe is preserved in horizon.basis, so no scoring information is lost.
  • tags: Bitcoin 200-week-MA claim: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary per the tag dictionary.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin's 200-week moving average crosses $10,000 within on…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2021-03-06

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Evidence firstMethodology