Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's 200-week moving average crosses $10,000 within one to two weeks
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“we should be crossing above ten thousand dollars in the not so distant future”
Bitcoin's 200-week moving average crosses $10,000 within one to two weeks
- Made on
- 2021-03-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-03-12
Bitcoin's 200-week moving average exceeds $10,000 on or before ~2021-03-20.
Directly computed 200-week simple moving average (Yahoo weekly closes). Rising ~$200-280/week at the time, it passed $10k the week of 2021-03-12 — comfortably before the ~2021-03-20 deadline. Exact crossing day depends on the tool's weekly-close convention, but all conventions place it in the 2021-03-08→03-20 window; criterion satisfied. (No outcome value assigned.)
Sources
Bitcoin's 200W MA approaches $10k!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
200-week SMA of Bitcoin computed from Yahoo Finance BTC-USD weekly closes: week of 2021-03-05 = ~$9,955 (just below $10k); week of 2021-03-12 = ~$10,235 (first weekly value above $10,000); week of 2021-03-19 = ~$10,482. The 200-week MA thus first crossed $10,000 during the week of 2021-03-08 to 2021-03-14, within one to two weeks of the 2021-03-06 statement and before the ~2021-03-20 deadline.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Trailing 'in the next one to two weeks or so' is a separate, later utterance; splicing it onto the $10k sentence misrepresents two non-contiguous passages as one. The one-to-two-week timeframe is preserved in horizon.basis, so no scoring information is lost.
- tags: Bitcoin 200-week-MA claim: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary per the tag dictionary.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's 200-week moving average crosses $10,000 within on…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources