Full record
25% rightcryptoBitcoin will reach $108,000 during the 2021 market cycle
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightcrypto“i think it will and i think there's a decent chance that it will this market cycle”
Bitcoin will reach $108,000 during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-29
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.04
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin trades at or above $108,000 at any point during the 2021 cycle window
Deadline (2021-12-31) passed with the price target unmet. Cycle-high ~$69k is well under the $108,000 criterion. Full-year data is settled and non-controversial. No outcome value (o) assigned here — scoring is a later stage.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression Rainbow
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's highest print during the 2021 cycle was ~$68,990 on 2021-11-10 (CoinGecko ATH ~$69,044). This was the peak for the entire 2021 window; BTC never approached $108,000 in 2021 and did not exceed the 2021 high again until March 2024. Criterion ($108,000 at any point in 2021) was NOT met, but the window is closed and the outcome is unambiguous.
Confirmation that $69k (Nov 2021) remained the all-time high until it was first exceeded in March 2024 — i.e., $108k was never touched during the 2021 cycle window.
Corrections
- tags: BTC price target is a crypto claim; 'crypto' is central and consistent with btc-20w-sma-40k.
Effect on the score
+2.04- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will reach $108,000 during the 2021 market cycle- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources