Prediction record
25% outcomecryptoBitcoin will reach $108,000 during the 2021 market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
25% outcomecrypto“i think it will and i think there's a decent chance that it will this market cycle”
Bitcoin will reach $108,000 during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-29
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin trades at or above $108,000 at any point during the 2021 cycle window
Deadline (2021-12-31) passed with the price target unmet. Cycle-high ~$69k is well under the $108,000 criterion. Full-year data is settled and non-controversial. No outcome value (o) assigned here — scoring is a later stage.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression Rainbow
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's highest print during the 2021 cycle was ~$68,990 on 2021-11-10 (CoinGecko ATH ~$69,044). This was the peak for the entire 2021 window; BTC never approached $108,000 in 2021 and did not exceed the 2021 high again until March 2024. Criterion ($108,000 at any point in 2021) was NOT met, but the window is closed and the outcome is unambiguous.
Confirmation that $69k (Nov 2021) remained the all-time high until it was first exceeded in March 2024 — i.e., $108k was never touched during the 2021 cycle window.
Corrections
- tags: BTC price target is a crypto claim; 'crypto' is central and consistent with btc-20w-sma-40k.
Score contribution
+2.04- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% outcome
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.04
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will reach $108,000 during the 2021 market cycle- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-29
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources