Full record
25% rightcryptoBitcoin will reach $100,000 this market cycle.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
25% rightcrypto“i think bitcoin is going to have to go to a hundred thousand dollars”
Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this market cycle.
- Made on
- 2021-03-10
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.04
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-03-10
Bitcoin's price reaches ≥$100,000 at any point within the window.
Criterion ≥$100,000 not met within window. The prior-cycle peak (~$69k, Nov 2021) and the March-2024 ATH (~$73.8k) both fell short of $100k; the actual $100k crossing on 2024-12-04 is outside the window. resolved_on set to deadline 2024-03-10 (window closed with threshold unmet). No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Cryptocurrency: Time is on Our Side!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Within the 2021-03-10→2024-03-10 window, Bitcoin's highest print was the March 2024 record of ~$73,798, reached around 2024-03-13/14 — and even that ATH came just after the deadline. As of the 2024-03-10 deadline BTC was ~$68k–72k. It never reached $100,000 inside the window.
Bitcoin first crossed $100,000 on 2024-12-04 (peaking ~$103,679 on 2024-12-05) — roughly nine months AFTER the record's 2024-03-10 deadline.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-specific claim; 'crypto' is the more precise tag.
Effect on the score
+2.04- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 25% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will reach $100,000 this market cycle.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources