Full record
50% rightmarketsBitcoin's cycle peak reaches $100,000-$200,000 during the 2021 market cycle
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
50% rightmarkets“I think bitcoin will go to between 100 to 200 000 this market cycle. That's generally my thinking.”
Bitcoin's cycle peak reaches $100,000-$200,000 during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-03
- Outcome
- 50% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin's price reaches at least $100,000 (into the $100k-$200k range) at some point on or before 2021-12-31.
Not met. The 2021 cycle peak (~$69k, Nov 10 2021) fell short of the $100k-$200k range; BTC did not cross $100k until Dec 2024, well outside this record's deadline.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Reconciling Two Models
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's highest price in the entire 2021 cycle was ~$68,982 on 2021-11-10 (nominal Coinbase print ~$69,225) — the cycle peak. It never reached $100,000 at any point on or before 2021-12-31.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's cycle peak reaches $100,000-$200,000 during the 2…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources