Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin's price reaches approximately $50,000 by end of 2024
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“fair value by 2024 would be about 50k”
Bitcoin's price reaches approximately $50,000 by end of 2024
- Made on
- 2021-03-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-11-10
Bitcoin's spot price reaches at least ~$50,000 (≥$40k allowing the 'about' framing) at some point on or before 2024-12-31.
Criterion easily met. BTC was already trading near $50k around the made_on date (early 2021), reached ~$69k in Nov 2021, briefly dipped below $50k in 2022-2023, and reconquered $50k in Feb 2024 before topping $100k in Dec 2024 — all inside the on-or-before-2024-12-31 window. resolved_on set to the first clearly documented ≥$50k point inside the window (Nov 10 2021 ATH).
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Reconciling Two Models
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin reached an all-time high of ~$68,982 on 2021-11-10 (Coinbase print ~$69,225), far exceeding $50,000 — the criterion of reaching ≥~$50k at some point on or before 2024-12-31 was met well within the window.
Bitcoin again broke $50,000 on 2024-02-12 (first time since Dec 2021), reconfirming the level was above $50k inside the window; it later exceeded $100,000 in Dec 2024.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price bet; 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's price reaches approximately $50,000 by end of 2024- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources