Prediction record
HitcryptoCardano (ADA) will decline to its 20-week moving average at some point during the 2021 market cycle
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“i do think it'll drop to the 20-week moving average at some point this market cycle”
Cardano (ADA) will decline to its 20-week moving average at some point during the 2021 market cycle
- Made on
- 2021-03-26
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
ADA price touches or falls to its 20-week moving average at least once during the 2021 cycle window
Criterion requires ADA to touch/fall to its 20-week MA at least once in the 2021 window. Satisfied: two large drawdowns (May 2021 crash; Sept-Dec 2021 decline from $3.10 ATH to $1.31 close) each carried price down to/through the lagging 20W MA. The 20W MA is a derived indicator computed from ADA weekly closing prices (secondary derivation from primary price data), not read from a single primary source; exact touch dates are approximate but the occurrence is robust given the magnitude of the declines. Outcome value/scoring deferred.
Sources
Cardano: A Realistic Price Prediction (Part 2)
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ADA's 2021 all-time high was $3.10 (Sept 2, 2021); it closed 2021 at $1.31, down 58% from the ATH. A ~58% decline over the autumn carried price well below the (lagging) 20-week moving average, which over Q4 2021 sat in roughly the $1.8-$2.4 range (20-week average of the elevated Aug-Nov weekly closes), so price fell to and through the 20W MA during the Sept-Dec 2021 decline.
During the May 2021 market-wide crash, ADA fell from ~$2.45 (mid-May ATH) to roughly $1.00, another instance where price declined into the vicinity of its rising 20-week MA (~$1.0-$1.2 at that time). Chainalysis documents the May 2021 crash context.
Corrections
- tags: Pure crypto price/level bet also carries 'markets' secondary per the crypto-vs-markets rule.
Score contribution
+1.51- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.51
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Cardano (ADA) will decline to its 20-week moving average at…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-03-26
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources