Full record
HitcryptoFebruary 2021 is not the cryptocurrency market-cycle top; prices will make new highs later this cycle
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i do not think we're at a market cycle top right now”
February 2021 is not the cryptocurrency market-cycle top; prices will make new highs later this cycle
- Made on
- 2021-02-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-11-10
Total crypto market cap exceeds its February 2021 level at some later point on or before 2021-12-31 (i.e. Feb 2021 was not the cycle top).
Criterion (total crypto market cap exceeds its February 2021 level at some later point on or before 2021-12-31) is satisfied by a wide margin: the market roughly doubled from ~$1.4T (Feb 2021) to a ~$3T ATH in Nov 2021. resolved_on set to 2021-11-10, the widely reported first breach of the $3T all-time high.
Sources
Ethereum: A euphoric showstopper
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total cryptocurrency market capitalization surpassed $3 trillion for the first time ever around November 8-10, 2021, far above the ~$1.4 trillion level of February 2021 — proving February 2021 was not the cycle top and that prices made substantial new highs later in the same 2021 cycle.
CoinMarketCap historical snapshot for late November 2021 corroborates the total market cap near its ~$3T all-time high, well above February 2021 levels.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto market cycle claim; 'crypto' is the central primary tag.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
February 2021 is not the cryptocurrency market-cycle top; p…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-02-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources