Prediction record
HitcryptoCardano (ADA/USD) puts in a local price top within the next few weeks.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we're probably approaching at some point in the next few weeks a local top for a while things will hopefully calm down and we'll pick back up”
Cardano (ADA/USD) puts in a local price top within the next few weeks.
- Made on
- 2021-02-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-03-14
ADA/USD forms a local peak (followed by a decline of ≥15%) within ~3 weeks of 2021-02-20.
Criterion satisfied: peak (~$1.46, 2021-02-26) within ~3 weeks of 2021-02-20, followed by a ≥15% decline (actual ~31% to ~$1.005). resolved_on set to the confirmed decline low; peak date 2021-02-26. Prices are CoinCodex aggregate; absolute levels vary by exchange but the peak-then-≥15%-decline pattern is exchange-independent.
Sources
Cardano: A run for the record books!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
ADA/USD formed a local peak of ~$1.46 on 2021-02-26 (6 days after the 2021-02-20 call, well within the ~3-week window), then declined to ~$1.005 by mid-March 2021 (2021-03-14/16) — a drop of ~31%, far exceeding the ≥15% threshold. Local top confirmed.
Corroborating context: ADA surged ~100% in early Feb 2021 and topped out in late February before a broad crypto correction; ADA did not reclaim these levels until its May 2021 leg.
Corrections
- tags: Pure crypto price bet carries markets secondary so the market-timing track stays continuous.
Score contribution
+1.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- +1.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Cardano (ADA/USD) puts in a local price top within the next…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-02-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources