Full record
HitcryptoThe ETH/BTC ratio does not rise 10x (1000%) over the next few months.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i don't believe we're gonna go up like 10x against bitcoin in the next few months”
The ETH/BTC ratio does not rise 10x (1000%) over the next few months.
- Made on
- 2021-01-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-04-08
The ETH/BTC ratio does not increase by 10x from its 2021-01-08 level at any point on or before 2021-04-08.
This is a 'does-not-happen-by-deadline' claim; determinate at the deadline. The 10x target (~0.32) was never approached inside the Jan 8–Apr 8, 2021 window (ratio stayed <0.05), so the criterion 'does not increase 10x' held. No outcome value assigned (later stage).
Sources
Ethereum: Has everyone forgotten the end of December?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ETH/BTC sat below 0.05 during the entire Jan–Apr 2021 window (the ratio stayed under 0.05 continuously from Aug 2018 until 28 Apr 2021). On 2021-01-08 it was ~0.032. A 10x rise would require ~0.32; the ratio never came close, peaking only ~0.071–0.08 later in Nov 2021.
ETH/BTC through-time analysis: ratio was ~0.032 in early Jan 2021 and reached only ~0.071 at the Nov 2021 ATHs (BTC $69,044 / ETH $4,878) — far below the 10x threshold of ~0.32 at any point.
Corrections
- tags: ETH/BTC ratio claim; 'crypto' should be primary.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The ETH/BTC ratio does not rise 10x (1000%) over the next f…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources