Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin reaches six figures (at least $100,000) within the next few years.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“bitcoin will trend to six figures over the next few years”
Bitcoin reaches six figures (at least $100,000) within the next few years.
- Made on
- 2021-01-13
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Effect on score
- -1.78
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2024-01-13
Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 at any point on or before 2024-01-13.
Within the resolution window (made 2021-01-13 → deadline 2024-01-13), BTC's maximum was the ~$69k Nov 2021 ATH; it traded ~$42–46k in Jan 2024. $100k was first reached Dec 2024, outside the window. Criterion 'at or above $100,000 on or before 2024-01-13' not met inside window. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
Bitcoin: The risks we take
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin surpassed $100,000 for the FIRST time ever on Dec 4–5, 2024 (hit ~$103,900), roughly 11 months AFTER the 2024-01-13 deadline. Prior to that its record was the Nov 2021 high (~$69k).
NPR: Bitcoin hit $100,000 for the first time in December 2024 — confirming no six-figure print existed on or before the Jan 2024 deadline.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price-target claim; 'crypto' should be primary.
Effect on the score
-1.78- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 4 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches six figures (at least $100,000) within the…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-13
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources