Full record
75% rightcryptoBitcoin reaches approximately $80,000 by November 2021.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
75% rightcrypto“the lower bound on it by november of 2021 would probably be closing in on 80k and the upper bound by the end of 2021 would be closing in on probably over a hundred k”
Bitcoin reaches approximately $80,000 by November 2021.
- Made on
- 2021-01-14
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.98
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-11-30
Bitcoin trades at or near $80,000 at some point on or before 2021-11-30.
Criterion ('at or near $80,000 on or before 2021-11-30') not met — cycle high ~$68,990 falls ~13% short of and is not 'near' $80k. Resolved on the deadline date. No conflicting evidence. Outcome value o deferred to Stage-2 scoring.
Sources
Bitcoin price back at $40k!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's 2021 cycle peak was an all-time high of ~$68,990 (≈$68,982) on 2021-11-10; it never traded at or near $80,000 at any point in November 2021 or before the 2021-11-30 deadline.
Independent confirmation that the ~$69k Nov 10 2021 high stood as Bitcoin's all-time high until March 2024, i.e. $80k was not reached in 2021.
Corrections
- tags: Tag dictionary v1.0.0: a crypto price/level call takes crypto as primary, markets as secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.98- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- 75% right
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches approximately $80,000 by November 2021.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-14
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources