Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin will not reach $310,000 by December 2021 (this cycle shows diminishing returns vs the prior cycle)
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“but unless we put in a 310 000 bitcoin by december then we're looking at diminishing returns as measured from market cycle bottom”
Bitcoin will not reach $310,000 by December 2021 (this cycle shows diminishing returns vs the prior cycle)
- Made on
- 2021-01-30
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
BTC/USD does not trade at or above $310,000 at any point by 2021-12-31.
Criterion ('BTC does not trade at or above $310,000 at any point by 2021-12-31') was SATISFIED — the 2021 peak of ~$69k was roughly 4.5x below $310k. The prediction (BTC will NOT reach $310k) held. resolved_on = deadline.
Sources
Bitcoin Market Cycle ROI + Fundamental Discussion on Market Cycle Theory
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
- tags: BTC price-level call is crypto (primary), markets (secondary) — same pure-crypto-price-bet rule applied to every sibling record; corrected [crypto]-only proposal to [crypto, markets] for consistency.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will not reach $310,000 by December 2021 (this cycl…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-30
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources