Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's network hash rate will continue rising over the foreseeable future
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“so what i would anticipate again is the hash rate to continue to move up for the foreseeable future”
Bitcoin's network hash rate will continue rising over the foreseeable future
- Made on
- 2021-01-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2022-01-20
Bitcoin's trailing-average network hash rate is higher on 2022-01-20 than on 2021-01-20.
Criterion (trailing-average hashrate higher on 2022-01-20 than 2021-01-20) is directly addressable and the trailing average clearly ended higher. Important nuance for context, not a conflict: hashrate did NOT rise monotonically — China's mid-2021 mining ban crashed it to ~85 EH/s around July 2021 before it fully recovered and set new all-time highs by the deadline. So the net trailing-average comparison in the written criterion is satisfied even though the raw path had a large drawdown. No conflicting credible evidence.
Sources
Bitcoin price path to $100k on-chain
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin network hash rate rose ~49% from January 2021 to January 2022. The network set a new lifetime-high hashrate of 219.68 EH/s on 2022-01-15 and was around 219.5 EH/s on 2022-01-01, versus roughly ~140-150 EH/s in January 2021. Trailing-average hashrate on 2022-01-20 was materially higher than on 2021-01-20.
Blockchain.com total hash-rate chart (primary on-chain data) shows the network hashrate on/around 2022-01-20 well above its 2021-01-20 level, despite the mid-2021 dip.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's network hash rate will continue rising over the f…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2021-01-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources