Full record
MisscryptoChainlink (LINK/BTC) will rally to at least ~166,000 satoshis (roughly double its Nov 2020 level) during the 2020-2021 cycle.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“i think there's a great chance that that link will rally to to much higher than 166 000 satoshi's this market cycle probably sooner rather than later which is about twice twice the valuation that it currently is”
Chainlink (LINK/BTC) will rally to at least ~166,000 satoshis (roughly double its Nov 2020 level) during the 2020-2021 cycle.
- Made on
- 2020-11-10
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-11-10
LINK/BTC trades at or above 166,000 satoshis at any point within the window.
Criterion ('LINK/BTC trades at or above 166,000 sats at any point in the window') is fully checkable and NOT met: the LINK/BTC all-time high across ALL history (0.001672 BTC / ~167,200 sats, Aug 2020) sits just above the target but predates the window; the in-window maximum was ~82,000 sats (May 2021). LINK badly underperformed BTC through the 2021 cycle. Outcome value/scoring deferred to a later stage.
Sources
Chainlink: King of the altcoins
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
CoinGecko LINK-to-BTC page: LINK's all-time high measured in BTC is 0.001672 BTC (~167,200 satoshis), and the page states it 'remains to be seen if the value of 1 LINK/BTC will exceed the current all-time high' — i.e. that level has NEVER been exceeded through July 2026. That ATH occurred in Aug 2020 (LINK ~$19.85 / BTC ~$11,900), BEFORE the claim window opened on 2020-11-10.
Within the 2020-11-10 → 2023-11-10 window, LINK/BTC peaked at roughly 0.000775–0.00082 BTC (~77,500–82,000 sats) on 2021-05-10, when LINK set its USD all-time high of $52.99. This is less than half the 166,000-sat target; LINK/BTC actually declined over the cycle rather than doubling.
BTC closed at $55,859.80 on 2021-05-10 (high $58,951.93). Combined with LINK's $52.99 USD ATH the same day, the implied LINK/BTC of ~0.00090–0.00095 BTC is corroborated near the ~0.0008 BTC exchange-pair peak — still far below 0.00166 BTC.
Corrections
- Prediction timeframe: Quote contains a temporal phrase ('this market cycle'), so 'no date stated' is inaccurate. Deadline 2023-11-10 kept (favors pundit).
- tags: Subject is a specific cryptocurrency (LINK/BTC); 'crypto' is the central controlled-vocab tag and matches sibling records.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Chainlink (LINK/BTC) will rally to at least ~166,000 satosh…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources