Full record
HitcryptoEthereum will reach $500, given Bitcoin rises to ~$17,000-18,000.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“if bitcoin moves up to say like 17k 18k there's a good chance that is going to break 500”
Ethereum will reach $500, given Bitcoin rises to ~$17,000-18,000.
- Made on
- 2020-11-10
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.51
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-11-24
Given BTC reaches $17k-18k, ETH/USD trades at or above $500 within the window.
Both legs of the conditional satisfied: BTC $17k-18k on 2020-11-17/18, ETH >=$500 in late Nov 2020. resolved_on ~2020-11-24 is approximate for ETH's first $500 print; exact day not pinned to a primary daily-close source, but ETH's later multi-thousand-dollar highs in-window make the >=$500 outcome certain regardless of the precise first-cross date.
Sources
Managing ETH/BTC valuation via risk
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The conditional trigger was met first: BTC crossed $17,000 on Nov 17, 2020 and $18,000 on Nov 18, 2020. ETH then crossed the $500 level in late November 2020 (it was ~$465 on Nov 17 and broke through $500 within the following days), satisfying 'given BTC reaches $17k-18k, ETH trades at/above $500 within the window.'
Independent of the exact Nov-2020 crossing, ETH traded far above $500 repeatedly within the window (deadline 2023-11-10), reaching its ~$4,878 all-time high on Nov 10, 2021 — so the $500 threshold was unambiguously met while BTC's $17k-18k condition held.
Corrections
- tags: ETH price target: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Effect on the score
+1.51- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Ethereum will reach $500, given Bitcoin rises to ~$17,000-1…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-10
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources