Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Ethereum will reach $500, given Bitcoin rises to ~$17,000-18,000.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

if bitcoin moves up to say like 17k 18k there's a good chance that is going to break 500

Ethereum will reach $500, given Bitcoin rises to ~$17,000-18,000.

Made on
2020-11-10
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-11-24

Given BTC reaches $17k-18k, ETH/USD trades at or above $500 within the window.

Both legs of the conditional satisfied: BTC $17k-18k on 2020-11-17/18, ETH >=$500 in late Nov 2020. resolved_on ~2020-11-24 is approximate for ETH's first $500 print; exact day not pinned to a primary daily-close source, but ETH's later multi-thousand-dollar highs in-window make the >=$500 outcome certain regardless of the precise first-cross date.

Sources

  • Managing ETH/BTC valuation via risk

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • The conditional trigger was met first: BTC crossed $17,000 on Nov 17, 2020 and $18,000 on Nov 18, 2020. ETH then crossed the $500 level in late November 2020 (it was ~$465 on Nov 17 and broke through $500 within the following days), satisfying 'given BTC reaches $17k-18k, ETH trades at/above $500 within the window.'

    Evidence

  • Independent of the exact Nov-2020 crossing, ETH traded far above $500 repeatedly within the window (deadline 2023-11-10), reaching its ~$4,878 all-time high on Nov 10, 2021 — so the $500 threshold was unambiguously met while BTC's $17k-18k condition held.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: ETH price target: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

+1.51
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Ethereum will reach $500, given Bitcoin rises to ~$17,000-1…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-11-10

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Evidence firstMethodology