Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin's cycle market top will occur in Q4 2021.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“Fourth quarter of 2021 seems like a good time.”
Bitcoin's cycle market top will occur in Q4 2021.
- Made on
- 2020-11-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-11-10
BTC's 2020-2021 cycle peak price prints between 2021-10-01 and 2021-12-31.
Exchange peaks vary slightly ($68,982 index vs ~$69,225 on Coinbase) but all on the same date, 2021-11-10 — squarely in Q4 2021. Unambiguous.
Sources
Bitcoin: Is $20k possible in the short-term?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 2020-2021 cycle peak printed on November 10, 2021 (~$68,982 on major indices; ~$69,000 nominal record). November 10, 2021 falls inside Q4 2021 (2021-10-01 to 2021-12-31). Criterion 'BTC cycle peak prints between 2021-10-01 and 2021-12-31' is satisfied.
That $69k Nov-2021 print stood as BTC's all-time high until March 2024, confirming it was the definitive top of the 2020-2021 cycle (not exceeded later within that cycle).
Corrections
- tags: Crypto (BTC) price/level bet: controlled vocab requires 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's cycle market top will occur in Q4 2021.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources