Prediction record
50% outcomecryptoBitcoin trends up to $100,000 over the next few years.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
50% outcomecrypto“i think it will trend upwards over the next few years to a hundred thousand dollars”
Bitcoin trends up to $100,000 over the next few years.
- Made on
- 2020-11-25
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.82
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-11-25
BTC trades at or above $100,000 at some point before 2023-11-25.
Window closed 2023-11-25 with a determinate outcome: criterion (BTC ≥ $100k before 2023-11-25) was NOT met (in-window high ~$69k). BTC did eventually hit $100k, but in Dec 2024 — outside this record's window. resolved_on set to window close.
Sources
Bitcoin: Just a fair warning
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin did NOT reach $100,000 before the 2023-11-25 deadline. Its highest price in the window was ~$69,000 (all-time high on 2021-11-10); by late Nov 2023 BTC was trading around $37,000–38,000.
Bitcoin first crossed $100,000 only on 2024-12-04/05 (~$103,800), roughly one year AFTER this record's deadline — so the $100k level was not reached within the 'next few years' window.
Corrections
- tags: Subject Bitcoin; 'crypto' is the more central primary tag, 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
+3.82- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- 50% outcome
- Importance
- 4 / 5
- Contribution
- +3.82
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin trends up to $100,000 over the next few years.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources