Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin holders will see a positive ROI over the next few years.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“over the next few years the probability of you seeing a pretty nice roi is pretty high”
Bitcoin holders will see a positive ROI over the next few years.
- Made on
- 2020-11-20
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-11-20
Bitcoin's price on ~2023-11-20 exceeds its price at the utterance (~$18,000).
Price on ~2023-11-20 (~$37,556) exceeds the utterance-date price (~$18,000-$18,622); positive ROI confirmed. Prices are exchange-aggregate daily closes and vary slightly by index, but the ~2x gain far exceeds any index/timezone ambiguity.
Sources
Bitcoin return on investment macroscopic trendline
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin closing price on 2020-11-20 (the day after the utterance) was ~$18,622, consistent with the record's stated ~$18,000 utterance-price anchor.
Bitcoin closing price on 2023-11-20 (the ~3-year resolution date) was ~$37,556 — roughly double the utterance price, so a holder from the utterance date had a clearly positive ROI over the 'next few years' horizon.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin price/ROI call: crypto primary for a cryptocurrency price bet, markets carried secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin holders will see a positive ROI over the next few y…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-20
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources