Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin's network hash rate will continue climbing over the coming weeks and months, following price.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“we're going to see continue to see the the hash rate continue to climb over the next over the next few weeks and months”
Bitcoin's network hash rate will continue climbing over the coming weeks and months, following price.
- Made on
- 2020-11-19
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.91
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-02-19
Bitcoin's network hash rate (e.g. 30-day average) is higher about three months after the utterance than at the utterance.
Higher on the criterion's specified 30-day-average basis (127 -> 152 EH/s). Note: raw single-day hash rate at the two endpoints was nearly equal (~147 EH/s), so the outcome depends on the 30-day-average convention named in the criterion; the trailing average was pulled down at the utterance date by the Oct-Nov 2020 dip and rose steadily into Feb 2021. blockchain.com daily hash rate is a noisy estimate; the direction of the change is robust across smoothing.
Sources
Bitcoin On-Chain Analysis
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Blockchain.com network hash-rate data: the 30-day trailing average was ~127 EH/s ending 2020-11-19 (the utterance date, depressed by a late-Oct/early-Nov 2020 dip to ~98 EH/s tied to the Chinese dry-season miner migration) versus ~152 EH/s for the 30 days ending 2021-02-19 (three months later). The three-month-later 30-day average is roughly 25 EH/s (~20%) higher, satisfying the written criterion.
Raw daily hash-rate on/near the utterance (~2020-11-19) was ~147 EH/s and near the deadline (~2021-02-19) was ~146-147 EH/s — roughly flat on a single-day basis — but the record's criterion specifies the 30-day average, which is clearly higher three months later because the utterance-date 30-day window still included the sharp early-November drawdown.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.91- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin's network hash rate will continue climbing over the…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-11-19
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources