Full record

Misscrypto

2021 will be an accumulation/range year for the crypto market cycle rather than a full bull-market top

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Misscrypto

2019, 2020, and I even think so 2021 will be the accumulation years of this market cycle.

2021 will be an accumulation/range year for the crypto market cycle rather than a full bull-market top

Made on
2020-10-15
Outcome
Miss
Importance
4 / 5
Effect on score
+0.62

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2021-12-31

Calendar year 2021 resolves as an accumulation/range phase (no full bull-market cycle top) for crypto.

Resolved: 2021 delivered the full cycle bull-market top (Nov-2021 $69k ATH), directly contradicting the accumulation/range prediction. No outcome value assigned.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Bull, Bear, and Accumulation Years

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • 2021 was NOT an accumulation/range year — it was a full bull-market top year with a two-peak structure: BTC peaked ~$64k in April 2021, pulled back ~55%, then made a new all-time high of ~$69,000 on November 10, 2021.

    Evidence

  • Analysts characterize 2021 as forming a bull-market top (~$69k Nov 2021), the cycle high that stood for over two years — the opposite of an accumulation/range phase.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Crypto cycle-phase claim is primarily 'crypto'; markets kept as secondary.

Effect on the score

+0.62
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
4 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

2021 will be an accumulation/range year for the crypto mark…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2020-10-15

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