Full record

Misscrypto

Bitcoin will not get close to $20,000 by the end of 2020

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcecryptomarkets

Scored prediction

Misscrypto

i don't really anticipate the price of bitcoin getting close to 20 000 by the end of this year

Bitcoin will not get close to $20,000 by the end of 2020

Made on
2020-10-15
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Effect on score
-0.84

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2020-12-16

BTC spot price stays below ~$19,000 (does not get close to $20,000) at every point on or before 2020-12-31.

Criterion required BTC to stay below ~$19,000 through 2020-12-31; it did not. BTC crossed $20,000 on 2020-12-16 and closed the year near $29,000. Outcome value (whether prediction hit/missed) is left to the scoring stage; evidence shows the ~$20k level was reached and exceeded within the window.

Sources

  • Bitcoin: Bull, Bear, and Accumulation Years

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • BTC broke above $20,000 for the first time ever on 2020-12-16, reaching as high as $20,696 that day — i.e. it did NOT stay below ~$19,000; it exceeded $20,000 before year-end.

    Evidence

  • BTC closed 2020 at ~$29,001.72 on 2020-12-31, up ~303% for the year — well above the ~$19,000 'not close to $20k' ceiling.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: BTC price claim is primarily 'crypto', markets secondary.

Effect on the score

-0.84
How sure they sounded
80%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin will not get close to $20,000 by the end of 2020
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2020-10-15

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