Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin does not reach $100,000 during 2021.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i just don't think that there's any chance that bitcoin will reach a hundred thousand dollars next year”
Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 during 2021.
- Made on
- 2020-10-08
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.99
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin fails to reach $100,000 at any point on or before 2021-12-31.
MET. Peak of ~$69k in 2021 is well short of $100k; prediction that BTC would not reach $100k in 2021 holds.
Sources
Bitcoin realistic price prediction using logarithmic regression
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's 2021 (and then-record) high was $68,982.20 on 2021-11-10; it never reached $100,000 at any point during 2021. The Nov 2021 high stood until March 2024. Criterion (fails to reach $100k on/before 2021-12-31) is satisfied.
Bloomberg/CNBC confirm the Nov 10, 2021 ~$69k peak was BTC's record and was not exceeded until March 5, 2024 — so no $100k print occurred in 2021.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin-specific claim; 'crypto' is the most-central controlled tag.
Effect on the score
+2.99- How sure they sounded
- 97%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin does not reach $100,000 during 2021.- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-08
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources