Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin will not reach $100,000 within the next five months (by ~March 2021)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“we're probably not just going to shoot through it and and go to 100k in the next five months”
Bitcoin will not reach $100,000 within the next five months (by ~March 2021)
- Made on
- 2020-10-31
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-03-31
Bitcoin does not trade at or above $100,000 on or before ~2021-03-31
Clear resolution. BTC peaked ~$61.5k in mid-March 2021, ~38% below $100k, and did not reach $100k on or before 2021-03-31. No conflicting evidence.
Sources
Bitcoin Bunny Hills
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's highest price on or before ~2021-03-31 was ~$61,556, set on 2021-03-13 (its all-time high at the time; monthly high ~$61,700, March close ~$58,800). It never traded at or above $100,000 by the deadline. Criterion (did NOT reach $100k within five months) is satisfied.
Corroboration that BTC first crossed $60k on 2021-03-13 (~$61k high), well short of $100k in the window.
Corrections
- horizon type: The pundit explicitly stated the duration 'five months'; a stated horizon is 'explicit', not table-inferred. Deadline value (2021-03-31) unchanged and correct.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will not reach $100,000 within the next five months…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources