Full record
HitcryptoBitcoin reaches a sustainable ~$20,000 by the end of 2021
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“we are on track again to reach a sustainable 20 000 bitcoin by the end of next year”
Bitcoin reaches a sustainable ~$20,000 by the end of 2021
- Made on
- 2020-10-12
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.86
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-31
BTC trades at or above ~$20,000 on a sustained basis (holds above, not a momentary wick) by 2021-12-31.
Criterion ('at or above ~$20,000 on a sustained basis by 2021-12-31') satisfied with wide margin; BTC first crossed $20k on 2020-12-16 (a full year early) and never traded below it again through end-2021.
Sources
Bitcoin pep talk
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
BTC closed 2021 at $46,306.45 on 2021-12-31, and traded continuously well above $20,000 throughout H2 2021 (ATH ~$69,000 in Nov 2021) — sustained, not a momentary wick.
Bloomberg: BTC ended 2021 up ~60% for the year despite a December decline, closing in the mid-$40,000s — far above the ~$20,000 threshold.
Corrections
- Quote wording: Match the exact contiguous transcript phrase (t≈359s, verified in BsCMYDZJchU.normalized.json); the record spliced the earlier 'we're on track' fragment onto the contiguous words. Verbatim must be the pundit's own contiguous words.
- tags: BTC price claim is primarily 'crypto', markets secondary.
Effect on the score
+2.86- How sure they sounded
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin reaches a sustainable ~$20,000 by the end of 2021- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources