Full record
HitmarketsBitcoin does not reach approximately $100,000 (six figures) for at least three years from October 2020 (not before ~October 2023).
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitmarkets“i personally think bitcoin will not reach approximately six figures for another three years or so”
Bitcoin does not reach approximately $100,000 (six figures) for at least three years from October 2020 (not before ~October 2023).
- Made on
- 2020-10-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.27
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2023-10-06
Bitcoin does not reach ~$100,000 at any point before approximately October 2023.
Criterion (BTC does not reach ~$100k before ~Oct 2023) is satisfied: BTC's pre-Oct-2023 peak was ~$69k, and the first $100k print did not occur until Dec 5, 2024. The claim's negative condition held for the full window.
Sources
Chainlink: Exponential growth against Bitcoin
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin surpassed $100,000 for the first time ever on 2024-12-05 (reaching ~$103,679) — over a year after the ~October 2023 threshold in the claim.
Before ~October 2023, Bitcoin's all-time high was ~$68,770 (Nov 2021); it never reached anywhere near $100,000 at any point before that date, confirming the 'not before ~Oct 2023' criterion.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+2.27- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin does not reach approximately $100,000 (six figures)…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources