Prediction record
MisscryptoWhen Bitcoin makes its run to ~$20,000, altcoins will most likely lose value relative to Bitcoin
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“at some point if what if bitcoin does make a run at 20k whenever that happens to be all coins will most likely bleed against bitcoin”
When Bitcoin makes its run to ~$20,000, altcoins will most likely lose value relative to Bitcoin
- Made on
- 2020-10-31
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-12-16
During Bitcoin's rally to ~$20,000, aggregate altcoins decline relative to Bitcoin (altcoin market-cap dominance / altcoin-BTC ratio falls)
Criterion: did aggregate altcoins DECLINE relative to Bitcoin during BTC's rally to ~$20,000? Evidence shows the opposite — Bitcoin dominance fell and major altcoins (XRP, ETH) OUTPERFORMED BTC over Nov 1 -> Dec 16, 2020. Evidence contradicts the prediction. Minor caveat: BTC did briefly lead in early Nov before alts caught up, but over the full run to $20k altcoin dominance rose. No outcome value assigned.
Sources
XRP: A realistic timeline
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
During BTC's Q4-2020 run to $20,000 (reached Dec 16, 2020), Bitcoin dominance fell as altcoins rallied: Nov 2020 saw an altseason with XRP ~+177% and Ethereum also outperforming Bitcoin's ~+42%.
Analysis confirming Ethereum and XRP dominated the late-2020 altcoin rally by market cap and volume, delivering double-digit outperformance vs BTC through November 2020.
CoinMarketCap snapshots: XRP market cap rose from $10.86B (Nov 1) to $23.22B (Dec 13), ~+114%, while BTC market cap rose ~+40% ($254.6B -> $355.5B) over the same window — aggregate large-cap altcoins gained ground relative to BTC during the run.
Corrections
- tags: Altcoin/Bitcoin relative-performance claim; crypto is the central controlled tag.
Score contribution
-0.84- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.84
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
When Bitcoin makes its run to ~$20,000, altcoins will most…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-10-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources