Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin will not reach a sustainable $20,000 before late 2021; the sustainable $20,000 level arrives around end of 2021 / first quarter of 2022
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“we're still on track right we're still on track completely on track to get to a 20 000 sustainable bitcoin right probably either the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022”
Bitcoin will not reach a sustainable $20,000 before late 2021; the sustainable $20,000 level arrives around end of 2021 / first quarter of 2022
- Made on
- 2020-09-21
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- -0.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-16
Bitcoin first trades and sustains (multi-week hold, not a brief spike) at or above $20,000 no earlier than late 2021 and by the end of Q1 2022
Criterion required the sustained $20,000 level to arrive 'no earlier than late 2021 and by end of Q1 2022.' The sustained $20k hold actually began mid-December 2020, violating the early-boundary of the written criterion. Directionally the prediction's timing was substantially too conservative. Objectively resolvable from primary price history; not scored here.
Sources
Bitcoin tests the 20 week MA again!
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin first traded above $20,000 on Dec 16, 2020 (~$20,700), roughly a full year EARLIER than the criterion's 'no earlier than late 2021' floor.
After the Dec 2020 breakout BTC did not merely spike: it sustained above $20,000 continuously (rising to ~$30k+ by early Jan 2021 and holding above $20k until the June 2022 crash), satisfying the 'multi-week hold' portion of the criterion — but ~12 months before the predicted window.
Corrections
- tags: Bitcoin is a cryptocurrency; dictionary requires 'crypto' primary for a coin price/level call, 'markets' secondary to keep the market-timing track continuous. Load-bearing: record is scoreable and tags drive per-tag sub-scores.
Effect on the score
-0.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will not reach a sustainable $20,000 before late 20…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-09-21
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources