Prediction record
HitcryptoBitcoin reaches and sustainably holds a $20,000 price level by end of 2021 / beginning of 2022 (Q4 2021–Q1 2022), via a slow methodical move rather than a sharp spike.
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitcrypto“we are going to get to a sustainable 20,000 Bitcoin sometime in the next uh you know, within about 16 months or so. So, the last quarter of 2021 or the first quarter of 2022”
Bitcoin reaches and sustainably holds a $20,000 price level by end of 2021 / beginning of 2022 (Q4 2021–Q1 2022), via a slow methodical move rather than a sharp spike.
- Made on
- 2020-09-06
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-12-16
Bitcoin trades at or above $20,000 and holds it on a sustained basis (e.g. weekly close >= $20k without falling back below for a sustained stretch) at some point on or before 2022-03-31.
Criterion (weekly close >= $20k held on a sustained basis at some point on/before 2022-03-31) is clearly met: BTC crossed $20k in Dec 2020 and never fell back below $20k on a weekly-close basis for the entire 2021–Q1 2022 span (the mid-2021 correction bottomed near $29–30k). The record's separate stylistic sub-claim about a 'slow methodical move rather than a sharp spike' is a manner-of-arrival nuance for the quantify/score stage, not part of the written price-threshold criterion. No outcome value assigned per instructions.
Sources
Bitcoin price: Thoughts on the next 6-12 months
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin first broke above its 2017 high and crossed $20,000 in mid-December 2020, then closed 2020 above $29,000 — and held well above $20k on a sustained basis throughout all of 2021 (2021 range roughly $29k–$69k; every weekly close stayed above $20k). The $20k level was thus reached and sustainably held well before the 2022-03-31 deadline.
Bitcoin set a new record near $69,000 on Nov 10, 2021, having rallied ~140% in 2021 — corroborating that price stayed far above $20k throughout the sustained-hold window (Q4 2021–Q1 2022).
Corrections
- tags: Pure crypto (BTC) price target: crypto primary + markets secondary per prompts.mjs:242. Overriding the adversarial ['crypto']-only proposal.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin reaches and sustainably holds a $20,000 price level…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-09-06
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources