Prediction record
MisscryptoOnce Bitcoin first reaches $20,000, it holds that level as resistance for a few months before breaking into price discovery (new all-time highs).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“stepping stones to 14k then to like 16k 18k and 20k where uh once we get to 20k we'll probably hold it as resistance for you know a few months”
Once Bitcoin first reaches $20,000, it holds that level as resistance for a few months before breaking into price discovery (new all-time highs).
- Made on
- 2020-09-28
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.56
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-01-31
After Bitcoin first trades at $20,000, it remains capped at/around $20,000 (no decisive break to new all-time highs) for roughly 2-4 months, then breaks above into price discovery.
NOT MET. The criterion required BTC to remain capped around $20k for ~2-4 months after first touching it before breaking to new highs. Instead it broke into price discovery essentially immediately (weeks, not months), so the specific 'hold as resistance for a few months' shape did not occur.
Sources
Bitcoin holds the 20 week MA for 4 weeks!
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin first traded at $20,000 on 2020-12-16 and immediately entered price discovery — it did NOT cap at/around $20k. It reached ~$29k by end-Dec 2020 and ~$40k by early Jan 2021 (roughly doubling within ~3 weeks), with no multi-month period held as resistance near $20k.
Corrections
- horizon deadline: Deadline should anchor to 'a few months' after BTC first reached $20k (2020-12-16), not made_on + 36 months; 2023-09-28 is the default price-target horizon mis-applied to a near-term shape claim.
- tags: Bitcoin-specific claim; 'crypto' is the most-central controlled tag.
Score contribution
-0.56- Confidence
- 80%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.56
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Once Bitcoin first reaches $20,000, it holds that level as…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-09-28
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources