Full record
HitcryptoAfter Ethereum breaks $1,000 and then $2,000, it reaches $3,000–$4,000 relatively quickly.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“i think once ethereum breaks a thousand dollars and two thousand then it's probably gonna get to them three thousand and four thousand relatively quickly”
After Ethereum breaks $1,000 and then $2,000, it reaches $3,000–$4,000 relatively quickly.
- Made on
- 2020-08-31
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.76
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-05-10
Conditional on Ethereum breaking above $2,000: Ethereum subsequently reaches $3,000–$4,000 within the window.
Both antecedents ($1,000 broken Jan 2021, $2,000 broken early April 2021) occurred, and the $3,000-$4,000 target was reached ~1 month after the $2,000 break (May 3-10, 2021) — satisfying 'relatively quickly.' Resolution is unambiguous; exchange price data across all major venues agrees. resolved_on set to the date the $4,000 upper bound was first touched (May 10, 2021); the $3,000 lower bound was reached ~May 3, 2021.
Sources
ETH/BTC: The valuation shift of 2020
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
ETH broke above $2,000 for the first time in early April 2021 (~April 2-3, 2021), triggering the record's condition.
After clearing $2,000, ETH first hit $3,000 in early May 2021 (article dated May 5, 2021 notes it had 'Hit $3,000' with ETH trading ~$3,412), reaching the lower bound of the $3,000-$4,000 target within roughly a month.
ETH soared above $4,000 for the first time on May 10, 2021, reaching an all-time high of $4,196.63 — covering the full $3,000-$4,000 band well within the 2023-08-31 window.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Both antecedents (ETH > $1,000 in Jan 2021 and > $2,000 in early April 2021) objectively occurred within the window; condition is met.
- tags: Cryptocurrency price bet: crypto primary, markets secondary per the closed tag dictionary.
Effect on the score
+2.76- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
After Ethereum breaks $1,000 and then $2,000, it reaches $3…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-08-31
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources