Full record
MisscryptoIf Bitcoin reaches $20,000 in the short term, $20,000 acts as resistance and price is rejected from it rather than sustaining above.
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“if we get if we can get oh so lucky that it does go to 20k you know in the short term i do think it would it would be held as resistance”
If Bitcoin reaches $20,000 in the short term, $20,000 acts as resistance and price is rejected from it rather than sustaining above.
- Made on
- 2020-08-19
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +0.31
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-12-16
If BTC reaches $20,000 in the short-term window, it is rejected at/around $20,000 (fails to hold above) rather than establishing a sustained position above it.
Conditional prediction: antecedent (BTC reaches $20k in the short-term window) occurred on 2020-12-16, and the predicted consequent (rejection at ~$20k, failing to hold above) did NOT occur — BTC broke through and sustained well above. Both sides of the conditional are documented; the prediction's stated outcome is contradicted by events.
Sources
Bitcoin: The friendly neighborhood bears
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
The conditional's antecedent was met: BTC reached $20,000 on 2020-12-16 (within the short-term window ending 2021-08-19). The consequent was NOT met: $20k did not act as resistance and price was not rejected — BTC broke through decisively, closing near $29,000 by end-December 2020 and continuing to ~$40,000+ by early January 2021.
BTC's 2020 year-end high of ~$28,886 (2020-12-30) and rapid subsequent rally show $20,000 flipped to support rather than acting as a rejection level, contradicting the predicted rejection-at-$20k scenario.
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Antecedent (BTC reaches $20k in the short term) objectively occurred 2020-12-16 within the deadline window — condition met, so record scores on the falsified consequent.
- tags: Pure crypto price-level bet carries 'markets' secondary per the continuity rule.
Effect on the score
+0.31- How sure they sounded
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
If Bitcoin reaches $20,000 in the short term, $20,000 acts…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-08-19
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources