Bitcoin reaches roughly $100,000 (six figures) by the end of 2023.

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on 2020-08-09.

VideoQuote from the original sourcemarkets

Scored prediction

Missmarkets

“even if it does come back down and then ultimately you know trickles back up and then goes to like a 100k or so in in 2023”

Bitcoin reaches roughly $100,000 (six figures) by the end of 2023.

Made on: 2020-08-09
Outcome: Miss
Importance: 3 / 5
Effect on score: -1.33

What counted as right

Status: resolved
Settled on: 2023-12-31

Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 at any point during 2023 (by 2023-12-31).

Criterion (BTC at/above $100,000 at any point by 2023-12-31) was NOT met — the 2023 high fell short of $100k by more than half. Record resolves with a determinate (negative) outcome; outcome value assignment/scoring is deferred to a later stage.

Sources

Is a Bitcoin bubble forming?
YouTube · 2020-08-09
Source

Evidence of what happened

Bitcoin's highest price during all of 2023 was ~$44,130 (2023-12-05). It never traded at or above $100,000 at any point in 2023; the six-figure level was first reached in December 2024.
Evidence
2023 Bitcoin price record confirming a ~$44k peak and no approach to $100,000 during the year.
Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

-1.33

How sure they sounded: 85%
Outcome: Miss
Importance: 3 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Bitcoin reaches roughly $100,000 (six figures) by the end o…

Methodology version: v1.0.0
Last computed: August 2, 2026
Made on: 2020-08-09

How this profile was built

Scored by independent judges 2026-07-18
Predictions gathered and sourced 2026-07-07
Independently verified against sources 2026-07-18

Back to profile