Prediction record

Missmarkets

Bitcoin reaches roughly $100,000 (six figures) by the end of 2023.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Missmarkets

even if it does come back down and then ultimately you know trickles back up and then goes to like a 100k or so in in 2023

Bitcoin reaches roughly $100,000 (six figures) by the end of 2023.

Made on
2020-08-09
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
-1.33

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2023-12-31

Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 at any point during 2023 (by 2023-12-31).

Criterion (BTC at/above $100,000 at any point by 2023-12-31) was NOT met — the 2023 high fell short of $100k by more than half. Record resolves with a determinate (negative) outcome; outcome value assignment/scoring is deferred to a later stage.

Sources

  • Is a Bitcoin bubble forming?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's highest price during all of 2023 was ~$44,130 (2023-12-05). It never traded at or above $100,000 at any point in 2023; the six-figure level was first reached in December 2024.

    Evidence

  • 2023 Bitcoin price record confirming a ~$44k peak and no approach to $100,000 during the year.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

-1.33
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Miss
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
-1.33

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin reaches roughly $100,000 (six figures) by the end o…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-08-09

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Evidence firstMethodology