Prediction record
HitmarketsSilver will outperform gold and the gold-silver ratio will decline over the next few years
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“the gold silver ratio will start you know coming coming back down over the next few years”
Silver will outperform gold and the gold-silver ratio will decline over the next few years
- Made on
- 2020-07-22
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-08-07
The gold-silver ratio is lower at some point within ~36 months than at 2020-07-22 (silver outperforms gold in relative terms).
The criterion only requires the ratio to be lower at SOME point within the window than at 2020-07-22. That happened almost immediately (within ~2-6 weeks) as silver rallied into early August 2020. Directionally unambiguous. Exact intraday ratio at 2020-07-22 vs. the August trough could be pinned to the decimal with a daily data series if a precise magnitude is needed, but the direction (silver strongly outperformed gold; ratio fell) is not in dispute across sources.
Sources
Are Gold and Silver prices set to explode over the next 5 years?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
The gold-silver ratio compressed sharply after mid-2020: silver more than doubled from ~$12 to ~$29 between March and August 2020, and the ratio fell from its COVID extreme of ~123:1 to ~71:1 in a single summer. From the ~90-95 level around 2020-07-22, the ratio continued dropping through late July and early August 2020 (silver peaked ~$29 in early Aug), well below the level at the prediction date. Criterion (ratio lower at some point within ~36 months than at 2020-07-22 / silver outperforms gold) is met within weeks of the call.
Long-term gold/silver ratio chart data confirming the mid-2020 compression from the March 2020 spike (~120+) down into the 60s-70s during summer 2020.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
+2.86- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Silver will outperform gold and the gold-silver ratio will…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources