Full record
HitcryptoThe total cryptocurrency market cap will reach approximately $1 trillion by the end of 2023
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hitcrypto“if not by 2022 then I think by 2023 for sure”
The total cryptocurrency market cap will reach approximately $1 trillion by the end of 2023
- Made on
- 2020-07-03
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +2.99
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-01-06
Total cryptocurrency market cap reaches ~$1 trillion at some point on or before 2023-12-31.
Criterion is 'reaches ~$1T at some point on or before 2023-12-31'. First crossing was 2021-01-06/07 (~$1.0-1.1T), so resolved_on is set to the earliest documented crossing date. The market was above $1T for extended periods in 2021 and again through 2023, ending the year near $1.6T. No conflicting evidence — the threshold was clearly met. Outcome value (o) intentionally not assigned; left for the quantify/score stage.
Sources
Bitcoin: The beauty of mathematics
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Total cryptocurrency market value crossed $1 trillion for the first time on 2021-01-06 (per CoinGecko's index of 6,124 assets), roughly six months after the prediction was made and ~3 years before the 2023-12-31 deadline.
Total crypto market cap rose to ~$1.6 trillion by Q4 2023 (a 55% annual rise), confirming the ~$1 trillion level was met and exceeded at the deadline horizon (end of 2023).
Corrections
- tags: Total cryptocurrency market cap is a crypto-domain level call; crypto primary, markets secondary — matching the identical crypto-mcap-1t-2022 record.
Effect on the score
+2.99- How sure they sounded
- 97%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
The total cryptocurrency market cap will reach approximatel…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-03
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources