Prediction record
MissmarketsCardano (ADA) reaches approximately $0.21 by the end of August 2020
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Missmarkets“by the end of august will be around 21 cents or so by the end of september at this same rate we might be around 35 cents”
Cardano (ADA) reaches approximately $0.21 by the end of August 2020
- Made on
- 2020-07-25
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.89
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2020-08-31
ADA reaches approximately $0.21 (>=~$0.21) by 2020-08-31.
Criterion (ADA reaches approximately $0.21 by 2020-08-31) was not met. Decisive fact: ADA's highest price in ALL of 2020 was ~$0.1957, so the ~$0.21 target was never touched, let alone by end of August (when ADA traded roughly $0.10-0.15). 'Approximately $0.21' with a >=~$0.21 floor is unambiguously missed.
Sources
Cardano: Price speculation on the eve of the Shelley launch
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Cardano (ADA) never reached $0.21 at any point in the entire year 2020. Full-year 2020 price range was a low of $0.0184 and a HIGH of $0.1957 (close $0.1813) — the 2020 peak of ~$0.196 was set in late 2020, not August. Since the annual maximum ($0.1957) is below $0.21, ADA could not have reached ~$0.21 by 2020-08-31.
During the July-August 2020 Shelley-upgrade rally, ADA surged ~85% in ten days but only rose from roughly $0.10 (early July, its highest since June 2019) toward the ~$0.13-0.15 range, and closed the year near $0.19. The mid/late-August 2020 level was on the order of $0.10-0.15 — nowhere near $0.21.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Score contribution
-0.89- Confidence
- 85%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Contribution
- -0.89
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Cardano (ADA) reaches approximately $0.21 by the end of Aug…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-25
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources