Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin will NOT make its cycle peak in 2021
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“I don't think the chance the chances we see a peak in 2021 ourselves are so low I just I don't even think it's worth even talking about much more”
Bitcoin will NOT make its cycle peak in 2021
- Made on
- 2020-07-01
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.86
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2021-12-31
Bitcoin does NOT register its bull-cycle peak price during calendar year 2021.
Criterion: BTC does NOT register its bull-cycle peak price during 2021. The 2020-21 cycle's peak ($69,044) occurred 2021-11-10 - i.e. the cycle DID peak in 2021, falsifying the prediction. BTC did not exceed this level again in 2021 (yearly high stood), and only surpassed it in 2024, so the 2021 top is unambiguously the cycle peak. (Outcome value/scoring left to a later stage.)
Sources
Bitcoin: Risk Analysis and Predictions
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's 2020-2021 bull cycle peaked at an all-time high of ~$69,044 on 2021-11-10, then declined into 2022. This cycle top was registered within calendar year 2021.
CoinGecko research confirms the 2021 cycle high of ~$69k on 2021-11-10 as the bull-cycle peak; the next new all-time high did not occur until March 2024.
Corrections
- tags: Crypto-vs-markets rule: a Bitcoin price/cycle bet takes 'crypto' primary and 'markets' secondary.
Score contribution
-1.86- Confidence
- 90%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- -1.86
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin will NOT make its cycle peak in 2021- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-07-01
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources