Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin will reach a sustainable $20,000 by Q1 2022 (end 2021 / early 2022)

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

bitcoin gets to 20k by you know the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022

Bitcoin will reach a sustainable $20,000 by Q1 2022 (end 2021 / early 2022)

Made on
2020-07-23
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.86

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-12-16

Bitcoin reaches >=$20,000 (sustainably) at any point on or before 2022-03-31.

Criterion (BTC reaches >=$20,000 sustainably at any point on or before 2022-03-31) is clearly met: first crossed 2020-12-16 and held well above $20k for the entire subsequent period through the deadline (BTC was ~$45k on 2022-03-31).

Sources

  • Ethereum price prediction based on the ETH/BTC ratio

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin broke above $20,000 for the first time ever on 2020-12-16, reaching as high as $20,696 that day. This is well before the 2022-03-31 deadline.

    Evidence

  • The rally continued and sustained: BTC hit a new all-time high above $23,000 on 2020-12-17 and kept climbing through 2021 (peaking ~$69,000 in Nov 2021), remaining far above $20,000 continuously through the deadline window. This supports the 'sustainable' qualifier — $20k was not a fleeting wick but a durable floor by end-2021/early-2022.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • Prediction timeframe: The '/ first quarter of 2022' fragment does not appear in the transcript; only 'the end of 2021 or the beginning of 2022' is spoken. Deadline 2022-03-31 stays as a defensible reading of 'beginning of 2022'.
  • tags: Bitcoin price prediction; 'crypto' is the controlled-vocabulary tag that most centrally fits and should be primary.

Score contribution

+2.86
Confidence
85%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.86

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will reach a sustainable $20,000 by Q1 2022 (end 20…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-07-23

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

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Evidence firstMethodology