Prediction record
HitmarketsTesla stock will continue to increase in price over the next several years (absent a complete global economic meltdown).
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Hitmarkets“I suspect that that Tesla will continue to go up in price over the next several years assuming I mean this of course is assuming we don't just have a complete global meltdown”
Tesla stock will continue to increase in price over the next several years (absent a complete global economic meltdown).
- Made on
- 2020-06-12
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-06-12
Tesla's share price is net higher over the ~3 years following mid-2020.
Criterion (TSLA net higher over ~3 years mid-2020→mid-2023) is met: split-adjusted price rose ~$72 → ~$262, ~3.6x. As with BTC, the path was not monotonic (TSLA peaked ~$400 split-adjusted in late 2021 and fell sharply through 2022), but the net-higher endpoint condition holds. No 'complete global economic meltdown' occurred, so the escape clause is not triggered.
Sources
Tesla: Logarithmic Regression, Over/Undervaluation, and Best/Worst Day to Buy
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Corrections
- conditional condition met: Escape-clause condition (no complete global economic meltdown) held over the window; resolution notes establish this. Set explicitly so quantify can score Y.
Score contribution
+2.27- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +2.27
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Tesla stock will continue to increase in price over the nex…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-06-12
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources