Full record
HittechCardano's Shelley mainnet will go live on Cardano's main network within roughly a month (by approximately September 2020)
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Hittech“the launch of shelly is you know is likely gonna be happening here in the next month or so”
Cardano's Shelley mainnet will go live on Cardano's main network within roughly a month (by approximately September 2020)
- Made on
- 2020-06-17
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.84
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2020-07-29
Cardano's Shelley mainnet upgrade goes live on the main network on or before 2020-09-17.
Criterion (Shelley live on main network on/before 2020-09-17) is directly satisfied: launch date 2020-07-29 precedes the deadline. Distinguish from the earlier Shelley testnet — evidence refers to the mainnet hard fork.
Sources
What if Cardano had the marketcap of other coins?
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Cardano's Byron mainnet became the Shelley mainnet via hard fork on 29 July 2020 at 21:44:51 UTC (epoch 208), enabling staking/delegation — this is on the main network, ~7 weeks before the 2020-09-17 deadline.
Independent confirmation that Cardano launched the Shelley mainnet after 5+ years of development in late July 2020.
Corrections
No public corrections.
Effect on the score
+1.84- How sure they sounded
- 80%
- Outcome
- Hit
- Importance
- 2 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Cardano's Shelley mainnet will go live on Cardano's main ne…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-06-17
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources