Prediction record

Hittech

Cardano's Shelley mainnet will go live on Cardano's main network within roughly a month (by approximately September 2020)

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcetech

Scored record

Hittech

the launch of shelly is you know is likely gonna be happening here in the next month or so

Cardano's Shelley mainnet will go live on Cardano's main network within roughly a month (by approximately September 2020)

Made on
2020-06-17
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-07-29

Cardano's Shelley mainnet upgrade goes live on the main network on or before 2020-09-17.

Criterion (Shelley live on main network on/before 2020-09-17) is directly satisfied: launch date 2020-07-29 precedes the deadline. Distinguish from the earlier Shelley testnet — evidence refers to the mainnet hard fork.

Sources

  • What if Cardano had the marketcap of other coins?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Cardano's Byron mainnet became the Shelley mainnet via hard fork on 29 July 2020 at 21:44:51 UTC (epoch 208), enabling staking/delegation — this is on the main network, ~7 weeks before the 2020-09-17 deadline.

    Evidence

  • Independent confirmation that Cardano launched the Shelley mainnet after 5+ years of development in late July 2020.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.84
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.84

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Cardano's Shelley mainnet will go live on Cardano's main ne…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-06-17

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Evidence firstMethodology