Full record

Hittech

Cardano's Shelley mainnet launches within the next one to two months

A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoQuote from the original sourcetech

Scored prediction

Hittech

the main that is is gonna be out within the next 1 to 2 months more than likely

Cardano's Shelley mainnet launches within the next one to two months

Made on
2020-06-03
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Effect on score
+1.51

What counted as right

Status
resolved
Settled on
2020-07-29

The Cardano Shelley mainnet goes live by ~2020-08-03.

Criterion (Shelley mainnet goes live by ~2020-08-03) met; launched 2020-07-29, ~5 days before the deadline. First staking rewards followed on ~2020-08-18, but mainnet go-live is the relevant event.

Sources

  • Cardano price rally continuation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Evidence of what happened

  • Cardano's Shelley mainnet hard fork activated July 29, 2020 at 21:44:51 UTC (epoch 208), delivering staking/decentralization — within the ~one-to-two-month window (deadline ~2020-08-03).

    Evidence

  • IOHK/community reporting confirms the Shelley mainnet launch date of July 29, 2020 (announced in advance for that date).

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Effect on the score

+1.51
How sure they sounded
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5

This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Where this came from

Cardano's Shelley mainnet launches within the next one to t…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
August 2, 2026
Made on
2020-06-03

How this profile was built

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