Prediction record

Hittech

Cardano's Shelley mainnet launches within the next one to two months

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcetech

Scored record

Hittech

the main that is is gonna be out within the next 1 to 2 months more than likely

Cardano's Shelley mainnet launches within the next one to two months

Made on
2020-06-03
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-07-29

The Cardano Shelley mainnet goes live by ~2020-08-03.

Criterion (Shelley mainnet goes live by ~2020-08-03) met; launched 2020-07-29, ~5 days before the deadline. First staking rewards followed on ~2020-08-18, but mainnet go-live is the relevant event.

Sources

  • Cardano price rally continuation

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Cardano's Shelley mainnet hard fork activated July 29, 2020 at 21:44:51 UTC (epoch 208), delivering staking/decentralization — within the ~one-to-two-month window (deadline ~2020-08-03).

    Evidence

  • IOHK/community reporting confirms the Shelley mainnet launch date of July 29, 2020 (announced in advance for that date).

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+1.51
Confidence
65%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.51

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Cardano's Shelley mainnet launches within the next one to t…
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-06-03

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

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  3. Independently verified against sources

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Evidence firstMethodology