Prediction record

Hitcrypto

Bitcoin moves up going into summer 2020

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcecryptomarkets

Scored record

Hitcrypto

there's also the chance and the very likely chance but we move up from here into the summer just like we did last summer

Bitcoin moves up going into summer 2020

Made on
2020-06-05
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.96

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2020-09-30

BTC's price is higher going into/through summer 2020 (by ~2020-09-30) than at the time of utterance (~$9,500 on 2020-06-05).

Criterion (BTC higher going into/through summer 2020 by ~2020-09-30 than ~$9,500 on 2020-06-05) met: end-of-window price ~$10,784 exceeds the reference, and the summer trajectory was net upward.

Sources

  • Bitcoin nears $10k - which way will it break?

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • BTC closed at ~$10,784 on September 30, 2020 — higher than the ~$9,500 reference level at the time of utterance (2020-06-05).

    Evidence

  • During summer 2020 BTC rallied above $10,000 (late July) and into the ~$11k–12k area in August before consolidating, consistent with an upward move going into/through summer 2020.

    Evidence

Corrections

  • tags: Bitcoin price/direction call: 'crypto' primary, 'markets' secondary.

Score contribution

+1.96
Confidence
90%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
2 / 5
Contribution
+1.96

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin moves up going into summer 2020
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-06-05

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Evidence firstMethodology