Full record
MisscryptoBitcoin will rise to six figures (at least $100,000) within roughly 12–18 months
A scored prediction by Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored prediction
Misscrypto“take Bitcoin hopefully to six figures”
Bitcoin will rise to six figures (at least $100,000) within roughly 12–18 months
- Made on
- 2020-06-24
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Effect on score
- +1.18
What counted as right
- Status
- resolved
- Settled on
- 2021-12-24
Bitcoin trades at or above $100,000 at some point on or before 2021-12-24.
Criterion: BTC ≥ $100,000 at any point on/before 2021-12-24. Peak in that window was ~$69k, ~31% short of $100k. Not met. Bitcoin did not reach $100k until Dec 2024, long after the deadline.
Sources
Bitcoin Logarithmic Regression: Still on course
YouTube ·
Evidence of what happened
Bitcoin's highest price in the entire window through 2021-12-24 was ~$69,000 (10 Nov 2021) — it never traded at or above $100,000.
2021 full-year price history: Bitcoin peaked around $69k in November and closed the year in the mid-$40,000s; six figures ($100k) was not reached until well after the deadline (Bitcoin first hit $100k in December 2024).
Corrections
- tags: Cryptocurrency price bet's primary domain is 'crypto' per the tag dictionary ('Bitcoin to $100k' is its literal example); 'markets' carried secondary for a pure price bet.
Effect on the score
+1.18- How sure they sounded
- 55%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
This page shows the scored prediction as published; the site doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Where this came from
Bitcoin will rise to six figures (at least $100,000) within…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- August 2, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-06-24
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources