Prediction record

Hitmarkets

Bitcoin will NOT reach $100,000 during 2021.

A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .

VideoPrimary sourcemarkets

Scored record

Hitmarkets

“Bitcoin does not go to $100,000 in 2021 is what I want people to be prepared for”

Bitcoin will NOT reach $100,000 during 2021.

Made on
2020-06-09
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

Criterion

Resolution status
resolved
Resolved on
2021-12-31

Bitcoin's highest price during calendar 2021 stays below $100,000; touching $100,000 at any point in 2021 falsifies it.

Criterion (2021 high stays below $100k) is satisfied; not falsified. Resolvable and clear.

Sources

  • Bitcoin Market Cycle ROI: Different perspectives

    YouTube ·

    Source

Outcome evidence

  • Bitcoin's highest price during calendar 2021 was its all-time high of ~$68,789-$69,225 on 2021-11-10, well below $100,000. BTC never touched $100,000 during 2021.

    Evidence

  • CoinGecko cycle data confirms the 2021 peak at ~$69k on 2021-11-10 as the highest 2021 print, below the $100k threshold.

    Evidence

Corrections

No public corrections.

Score contribution

+2.76
Confidence
80%
Outcome
Hit
Importance
3 / 5
Contribution
+2.76

This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.

Provenance

Bitcoin will NOT reach $100,000 during 2021.
Methodology version
v1.0.0
Last computed
July 18, 2026
Made on
2020-06-09

How this profile was built

  1. Scored by independent judges

  2. Predictions gathered and sourced

  3. Independently verified against sources

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