Prediction record
MisscryptoBitcoin's next market-cycle peak will occur in 2023 (most likely summer 2023), not in late 2021 or early 2022
A scored record for Benjamin Cowen, made on .
Scored record
Misscrypto“it's more likely than not that the next peak is not occurring in late 2021 or even early 2022 but more likely going to occur at the earliest quarter for 2022 more likely summer 2023 and then even less likely maybe the second quarter 2024”
Bitcoin's next market-cycle peak will occur in 2023 (most likely summer 2023), not in late 2021 or early 2022
- Made on
- 2020-06-22
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
Criterion
- Resolution status
- resolved
- Resolved on
- 2023-12-31
Bitcoin registers its bull-market cycle peak price during calendar year 2023 (and not in 2021 or early 2022).
Criterion requires the cycle peak to fall in 2023 and NOT in 2021/early-2022. Actual cycle peak occurred 2021-11-10 at ~$69k; 2023's high (~$44k) never approached it. The 'not in late 2021 or early 2022' condition is contradicted — the peak was exactly late 2021. resolved_on set to deadline (2023-12-31), the point at which the full 2023 window is known.
Sources
Bitcoin: When will the macro-level trendline break?
YouTube ·
Outcome evidence
Bitcoin's bull-market cycle peak was $68,982 (~$69,044 intraday) on 10 November 2021 — the top of that halving cycle, not in 2023.
Bitcoin's highest price in calendar-year 2023 was ~$44,130 (5 Dec 2023), far below the Nov-2021 peak; 2023 was a recovery year (opened ~$16,600, ranged $15,672–$44,130). 2023 was not a cycle-peak year.
Corrections
- tags: A Bitcoin price/cycle-peak claim is 'crypto' in the closed dictionary, not 'markets' (stock/index/FX).
Score contribution
+0.46- Confidence
- 65%
- Outcome
- Miss
- Importance
- 3 / 5
- Contribution
- +0.46
This page displays the scored record as published; the website doesn't recompute or adjust the score.
Provenance
Bitcoin's next market-cycle peak will occur in 2023 (most l…- Methodology version
- v1.0.0
- Last computed
- July 18, 2026
- Made on
- 2020-06-22
How this profile was built
Scored by independent judges
Predictions gathered and sourced
Independently verified against sources